"It is the duty of the Office to examine and report on the sustainability of the public finances"
We’re seeking views from you to help shape the future of our website and online publishing. Whether you use the site for our forecasts and data, or our analysis and research, we’d like to hear about your experience. Your feedback will help inform decisions about how the OBR publishes and presents its content online in…
The Chancellor has commissioned the OBR to produce our next forecast on Wednesday 28 October 2026. We will publish an updated Economic and fiscal outlook on that day.
This morning’s ONS release estimates that borrowing in the first three months of 2026-27 totalled £57.6 billion. This is £3.7 billion below the same period last year and £2.7 billion above the monthly profile consistent with our March forecast. Central government spending is £3.6 billion above forecast for the year-to-date, primarily reflecting higher debt interest…
Professor Jonathan Haskel was nominated as the next Chair of the Office for Budget Responsibility by the Chancellor in June. The House of Commons Treasury Committee has now confirmed his appointment, saying ‘We are satisfied that Professor Haskel has the appropriate professional competence and personal independence to carry out his role‘. Find out more on…
The Chancellor of the Exchequer has today nominated Professor David Miles CBE for reappointment to the Office for Budget Responsibility’s Budget Responsibility Committee (BRC) for a second and final term, subject to the approval of the House of Commons Treasury Committee. As a member of the BRC, Professor David Miles shares executive responsibility for the…
An explainer video exploring the long-term pressures on spending, taxes and government debt—and the choices future governments may face.
Building on the recommendations of the OBR’s 2025 external review, we are publishing an initial set of our areas of research interest (ARI).
Our Welfare trends report (WTR) examines the drivers of welfare spending.
Our Fiscal risks and sustainability report examines the likely major pressures on the public finances over the next 50 years. Long-term projections are highly uncertain and sensitive to the underpinning assumptions. But almost all our scenarios show public debt eventually moving onto an unsustainable path. Debt moves onto a steep upward trajectory in the 2040s…
We have published a report setting out our response to the November 2025 Economic and fiscal outlook publication error and our progress against the recommendations of the resulting investigations. The report outlines our approach to web publishing, including interim arrangements using both GOV.UK and the OBR’s main website. It also explains the steps we have…