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The Chair’s presentation on our October 2026 Economic and fiscal outlook
Jonathan Haskel distils the key messages from our latest Economic and fiscal outlook in his press conference presentation and accompanying speaking note.
Treasury Committee report concluding its inquiry into The OBR: 15 years on
The Treasury Committee has today published its report concluding its inquiry into The OBR: 15 years on. Responding to the report, Jonathan Haskel, Chair of the OBR’s Budget Responsibility Committee, said: “We welcome this report and thank Dame Meg Hillier and the Treasury Committee for their work. We appreciate the Treasury Committee’s support for the…
Latest year-to-date borrowing estimate above March forecast profile
This morning’s ONS release estimates that borrowing in the first five months of 2026-27 totalled £77.3 billion. This is £2.2 billion below the same period last year and £8.1 billion above the monthly profile consistent with our March forecast. This is driven by £7.4 billion of higher-than-forecast central government spending in the year-to-date, driven by…
October 2026 forecast timetable
On 31 July 2026 the Chancellor commissioned the OBR to publish our next Economic and fiscal outlook (EFO) on Wednesday 28 October. We have now agreed the final details of the timetable for the forecast process. We will set out details of this timetable in the foreword of the EFO when it is published on 28…
Supplementary forecast information on the costing of government response to the loan charge independent review
Since the publication of our November 2025 Economic and fiscal outlook (EFO) we have received a request for further detail on the costing of government response to the loan charge independent review. We have published this new supplementary forecast information below and on the November 2025 EFO page.
Year-to-date borrowing slightly above forecast profile
This morning’s ONS release estimates that borrowing in the first four months of 2026-27 totalled £56.7 billion. This is £6.0 billion below the same period last year but £2.3 billion above the monthly profile consistent with our March 2026 forecast. Central government receipts for the year-to-date are £2.8 billion above the forecast profile, primarily driven…
Have your say on the future of the OBR website
We’re seeking views from you to help shape the future of our website and online publishing. Whether you use the site for our forecasts and data, or our analysis and research, we’d like to hear about your experience. Your feedback will help inform decisions about how the OBR publishes and presents its content online in…