"It is the duty of the Office to examine and report on the sustainability of the public finances"
The latest update of our forecasts was published on 28 October 2026 in the October 2026 Economic and fiscal outlook. Read the Executive summary for the key messages of our forecast or the full report on our website. Chapter 2 sets out our forecasts for the economy over a five-year horizon. We cover our latest…
Five year forecasts for the UK economy and public finances and an assessment of whether the Government is likely to achieve its fiscal targets.
Report into the main fiscal risks facing the UK and sustainability of the public finances.
Assessment of how our forecasts compare to outturn data and identifying lessons for future forecasts.
An in-depth look at the drivers of welfare spending both inside and outside the Government’s welfare cap.
Our monthly commentary on the latest public finances data and how it compares to our most recent forecast.
We are commissioned by the Welsh Government to produce independent forecasts for devolved Welsh taxes.
Since 2012 we have forecast some tax streams devolved to the Scottish Parliament and, more recently, taxes devolved to the National Assembly for Wales. Our forecasts for devolved taxes are published alongside each EFO and are consistent with our main UK forecasts.
Press notices are published on our website to inform the press of latest events or publications. The chairman, Richard Hughes, also gives press conference presentations to explain the analysis in our key publications.
As part of our commitment to transparency, we provide further information to our analysis on request. Requests can be made informally or under the Freedom of Information Act. You can also read our responses to Parliamentary questions.
Briefing papers describe our work and explain the material we present.
As part of the OBR work programme we will produce working papers on topics which will inform discussion on our forecasts.
The OBR publishes discussion papers to generate debate around key aspects of its work. Our occasional papers are publications that are not part of a wider set of releases.
We publish a full and transparent Annual report each summer.
As part of our governance we publish our terms of reference and minutes of meetings, as well as our corporate and business plans.
As part of our commitment to transparency we publish details of contact made between ministers, special advisers, private office and opposition MP’s and the OBR.
We publish letters, mostly between our Chair and figures in the UK Government and Parliament, on a number of topics.
Details of expenses incurred and hospitality received by BRC members are published on a quarterly basis. We also disclose expenditure in excess of £500 twice a year.
At least once in every 5-year period, the non-executive committee appoint a person or body to review and report on the Office for Budget Responsibility.