Medium-term forecasts
Five year forecasts for the UK economy and public finances and an assessment of whether the Government is likely to achieve its fiscal targets.
Publications
The OBR produces a variety of publications in pursuit of its duty to examine and report on the sustainability of the public finances.
Core publications
Fiscal risks and long-term projections
Report into the main fiscal risks facing the UK and sustainability of the public finances.
Forecast evaluation
Assessment of how our forecasts compare to outturn data and identifying lessons for future forecasts.
Welfare spending trends
An in-depth look at the drivers of welfare spending both inside and outside the Government’s welfare cap.
Monthly commentary
Our monthly commentary on the latest public finances data and how it compares to our most recent forecast.
Welsh taxes
We are commissioned by the Welsh Government to produce independent forecasts for devolved Welsh taxes.
Other releases
Devolved taxes
Since 2012 we have forecast some tax streams devolved to the Scottish Parliament and, more recently, taxes devolved to the National Assembly for Wales. Our forecasts for devolved taxes are published alongside each EFO and are consistent with our main UK forecasts.
Press notices and presentations
Press notices are published on our website to inform the press of latest events or publications. The chairman, Richard Hughes, also gives press conference presentations to explain the analysis in our key publications.
Requests for information
As part of our commitment to transparency, we provide further information to our analysis on request. Requests can be made informally or under the Freedom of Information Act. You can also read our responses to Parliamentary questions.
Papers
Briefing papers
Briefing papers describe our work and explain the material we present.
Working papers
As part of the OBR work programme we will produce working papers on topics which will inform discussion on our forecasts.
Discussion papers
The OBR publishes discussion papers to generate debate around key aspects of its work. Our occasional papers are publications that are not part of a wider set of releases.
Corporate and governance
Annual report
We publish a full and transparent Annual report each summer.
Governance
As part of our governance we publish our terms of reference and minutes of meetings, as well as our corporate and business plans.
Log of contact
As part of our commitment to transparency we publish details of contact made between ministers, special advisers, private office and opposition MP’s and the OBR.
Letters
We publish letters, mostly between our Chair and figures in the UK Government and Parliament, on a number of topics.
Disclosures and expenses
Details of expenses incurred and hospitality received by BRC members are published on a quarterly basis. We also disclose expenditure in excess of £500 twice a year.
External reviews
At least once in every 5-year period, the non-executive committee appoint a person or body to review and report on the Office for Budget Responsibility.