Category Archive: Economic and fiscal outlook

We have published updated monthly profiles for receipts, spending and borrowing in 2022-23 consistent with our November 2022 Economic and fiscal outlook below and alongside our monthly commentary on the public finances.

The Chancellor has announced that the Spring Budget 2023 will take place on Wednesday 15 March. That day we will release the latest outlook for the economy and public finances.

Since the publication of our November 2022 Economic and fiscal outlook (EFO) we have received a request for further information into our forecast of income streams subject to self-assessment income tax. We have published this new supplementary forecast information below and on the November 2022 EFO page.

Since the publication of our November 2022 Economic and fiscal outlook (EFO) we have received a request for further information on our income tax and National Insurance contributions forecast. We have published this new supplementary forecast information below and on the November 2022 EFO page.

Since the publication of our November 2022 Economic and fiscal outlook (EFO) we have received a request for further information on our Ofgem price cap forecast. We have published this new supplementary forecast information below and on the November 2022 EFO page.

Since the publication of our November 2022 Economic and fiscal outlook (EFO) we have received a request for further information on our emissions trading scheme receipts forecast. We have published this new supplementary forecast information below and on the November 2022 EFO page.

On 18 November, the Chair of the Economic Affairs Committee, Lord Bridges of Headley MBE sent a letter to Chair Richard Hughes regarding the OBR’s welfare spending forecasts. Richard Hughes replied with further information on 25 November. Both letters are available below.  

Since the publication of our November 2022 Economic and fiscal outlook (EFO) we have received a request for further information on our welfare spending forecast. We have published this new supplementary forecast information below and on the November 2022 EFO page.

Richard Hughes distils the key messages from our latest Economic and fiscal outlook in his press conference presentation and accompanying speaking note.  

Over £100 billion of additional fiscal support over the next two years cushions the blow of higher energy prices – but the economy still falls into recession and living standards fall 7 per cent over two years, wiping out eight years’ growth. Over the medium term, around £40 billion in tax rises and spending cuts…