Category Archive: Economic and fiscal outlook

Richard Hughes, Chair of the OBR, explains the top 5 takeaways from our report.

Against a more challenging and uncertain outlook than in autumn, we have halved our forecast for economic growth this year from 2 to 1 per cent and lowered the forecast path for the level of productivity. Before accounting for policy, higher debt interest costs and other forecast changes left the current budget in deficit by…

Richard Hughes distils the key messages from our latest Economic and fiscal outlook in his press conference presentation and accompanying speaking note.

On 16 December 2024 the Chancellor commissioned us to publish our latest outlook for the economy and public finances on Wednesday 26 March. We have now agreed the timetable for the forecast process and published the detail below. Update on 12 March: Financial market assumptions and the incorporation of outturn data The final pre-measures fiscal…

Since the publication of our October 2024 Economic and fiscal outlook (EFO) we have received requests for further information on the costing of changes to carried interest, non-domicile regime, and IHT on pensions measures. We have published this new supplementary forecast information below and on the October 2024 EFO page.

Since the publication of our October 2024 Economic and fiscal outlook (EFO) we have received requests for further information on the costing of changes to agricultural and business property reliefs and capital gains tax measures. We have published this new supplementary forecast information below and on the October 2024 EFO page.

The Chancellor has announced that the Spring forecast  will take place on Wednesday 26 March 2025. Our latest outlook for the economy and public finances will be released on the same day.

Since the publication of our October 2024 Economic and fiscal outlook (EFO) we have received requests for further information on our carbon price forecast and detail underlying our environmental levies forecast. We have published this new supplementary forecast information below and on the October 2024 EFO page.

Richard Hughes distils the key messages from our latest Economic and fiscal outlook in his press conference presentation and accompanying speaking note.

Read our Review and letter to the Chair of the Treasury Select Committee.