OBR’s areas of research interest
Building on the recommendations of the OBR’s 2025 external review, we are publishing an initial set of our areas of research interest (ARI).
Category Archive: Announcements
Response to the November 2025 Economic and fiscal outlook publication error
We have published a report setting out our response to the November 2025 Economic and fiscal outlook publication error and our progress against the recommendations of the resulting investigations. The report outlines our approach to web publishing, including interim arrangements using both GOV.UK and the OBR’s main website. It also explains the steps we have…
Non-executive member of the Office for Budget Responsibility
The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) was created in 2010 to provide independent and authoritative analysis of the UK’s public finances. We are seeking to appoint two non-executive members to the OBR’s Oversight Board, one to immediately replace Dame Susan Rice, whose first term ended on 19 June 2026, and one to replace Baroness Hogg…
Prof. Jonathan Haskel CBE nominated as next Chair of the OBR
The Chancellor has nominated Prof. Jonathan Haskel CBE, Professor of Economics at Imperial College London and former Monetary Policy Committee member at the Bank of England, as the next Chair of the Office for Budget Responsibility. If the nomination is approved by the Treasury Committee, he would take up his post later this year. Professor…
Baroness Hogg re-appointed as a non-executive member of the OBR
The Chancellor of the Exchequer has announced that Baroness Hogg has been re-appointed as a non-executive member of the OBR. Tom Josephs and Professor David Miles said: “We are delighted that Baroness Hogg will be serving for a further year. We would like to record our immense gratitude for the invaluable contribution that Dame Susan…
Fiscal risks and sustainability report 2026 due 7 July
Our latest Fiscal risks and sustainability report (FRS) will be published on Tuesday 7 July. It will be launched at the Darlington Economic Campus. The 2026 FRS will update the long-run fiscal projections, focusing on the following components: The economy, where we will examine the implications of updated economic and demographic assumptions, such as productivity growth…
Welfare trends report 2026 due 23 June
Our 2026 Welfare trends report will be published on Tuesday 23 June. This edition of our biennial report will examine fraud and error in the welfare system.
Forecast evaluation report 2026 due 2 June
Our latest Forecast evaluation report (FER) will be published on Tuesday 2 June at 11am. Our FER examines how our forecasts compare to subsequent outturn data and identifies lessons for future forecasts. This report will focus on the performance of our July 2020, March 2023, and March 2024 forecasts for the fiscal year 2024-25 against…
OBR’s areas of research interest
Building on the recommendations of the OBR’s 2025 external review, we are publishing an initial set of our areas of research interest (ARI). These detail the OBR’s priority research questions across four areas: economy forecasting and modelling; fiscal forecasting and modelling; economic and behavioural impacts of policy; and cross-cutting issues. For all engagement with the…
Our upcoming March 2026 Economic and fiscal outlook
Our latest Economic and fiscal outlook (EFO) will be published today. It will set out our latest forecasts for the economy and the public finances. This EFO will be published on the HM Treasury website once the Chancellor’s statement is complete. Supporting material and detailed forecast tables will be available on the OBR’s website by…