Category Archive: Working papers

Stacked bar chart showing tax-to-GDP ratio rose fractionally between 2007-08 and 2018-19 but the compositional changes were much greater

Evolution of receipts over the past decade

We have published a new paper studying the evolution of tax revenues and other sources of government income between 2007-08 and 2018-19 – respectively the last full year before the financial crisis and the last full year before the coronavirus crisis.

OBR Working Paper series

The latest in our series of Working Papers were published on 28 September 2018. Working paper No.13: In-year fiscal forecasting and monitoring presents our approach to in-year forecasting and monitoring of the public finances, and discusses how we assess our forecasts against the published data.   Working paper No.14: Devolved income tax: forecasting by tax bands sets…