Efforts to put the UK’s public finances on a sustainable footing after a series of global shocks have met with only limited and temporary success in recent years, leaving the UK with the sixth-highest debt, fifth-highest deficit, and third-highest borrowing costs among 36 advanced economies. Against this more vulnerable backdrop, the risks to the fiscal outlook are mounting, including: the sustainability of state and private pensions and the sector’s demand for government debt; risks to assets and liabilities on the public balance sheet and the Government’s new net financial liabilities target; and the combined costs of climate damage and the net zero transition.

