Our latest Forecast evaluation report (FER) will be published at 11am on Thursday 9 December.

Our annual FER examines how our forecasts compare to subsequent outturn data and identifies lessons for future forecasts.

The pandemic brought about the largest shock to the economy and public finances since the OBR was established. This report will look at its impact on our forecasts over 2020-21, and what we can learn for future exercises.

Alongside the FER we will publish new monthly profiles consistent with our October 2021 forecast to provide an updated reference point against which to monitor incoming public finances data.