We look at some of the detailed considerations that we take into account in our long-term projections in our recent health spending Fiscal sustainability analytical paper. As indicated in our statement following the EU referendum, we are publishing some of the analysis that would have featured in our 2016 Fiscal sustainability report, where the conclusions were less sensitive to assumptions that might be affected by the referendum result.
- Coronavirus analysis
- Economic and fiscal outlook
- Fiscal sustainability report
Long-term projections of the UK public finances and public sector balance sheet analysis.
- Forecast evaluation report
Report into how our forecasts compare to subsequent outturn data and identifying lessons for future forecasts.
- Welfare trends report
An in-depth look at the drivers of welfare spending both inside and outside the Government’s welfare cap.
- Fiscal risks report
A report published every two years on the main risks to the public finances.
- Monthly public finance release
Our monthly commentary on the latest public finances data and how it compares to our most recent forecast.
- All other publications
In-depth discussion and technical papers, devolved tax forecasts, press releases and disclosures.
Five year forecasts for the UK economy and public finances and an assessment of whether the Government is likely to achieve its fiscal targets.