First estimate of 2023-24 borrowing higher than forecast

The ONS’s initial full-year estimate of government borrowing in 2023-24 is £120.7 billion (4.4 per cent GDP), a £7.6 billion (5.9 per cent) decrease on the previous year. This is £6.6 billion (5.8 per cent) higher than our March forecast. This difference is largely driven by the initial estimate of central government receipts, which is £5.3 billion lower than the March forecast.

Line chart showing cumulative public sector net borrowing



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