The OBR produces a variety of publications in pursuit of its duty to examine and report on the sustainability of the public finances.
Economic and fiscal outlook
The Economic and fiscal outlook is usually published twice a year alongside the Budget and Spring Statement. It sets out forecasts for the economy and the public finances over a five year horizon and assesses whether the Government is on course to hit its fiscal targets.See the outlooks and accompanying documents
Fiscal sustainability report
The Fiscal sustainability report presents long term projections for public spending and tax revenue, describes the public sector balance sheet, and sets out summary indicators of the long term sustainability of the public finances. We have recently moved from an annual publication timetable to every other year to align with the frequency of the ONS population projections.See the reports and accompanying documents
Forecast evaluation report
The Forecast evaluation report is released each October. It examines how forecasts in previous Economic and fiscal outlooks compare to subsequent outturns and draws lessons for future forecasts.See the reports and accompanying documents
Welfare trends report
The Welfare trends report looks in detail at social security and tax credits spending. Our annual report examines the drivers of welfare spending, including both those elements inside and outside the cap.See the latest report and accompanying documents
Fiscal risks report
The Fiscal risks report, which will be published every two years, looks into the main risks to the public finances. We published our first report in July 2017.See the latest report and accompanying documents
Monthly public finances release
We provide a same-day commentary on the monthly public finances statistics, to help people interpret the latest data in the light of our most recent forecasts.
Brief guides and explainers
For the non-expert readers, we produce short guides and explainers to describe key areas of our work.
Within each of our key publications we include topical ‘boxes‘. These self-contained analyses are unique to the publication in which they appear.
Briefing papers describe our work and explain the material we present.
Working papers to inform discussion on our forecasts.
Devolved tax forecasts – since 2012 we have forecast some tax streams that have been devolved to the Scottish Parliament and, more recently, taxes which may be devolved to the National Assembly for Wales. Our forecasts for devolved taxes are published alongside each EFO and are consistent with our main UK forecasts.
A database of subjective uncertainty ratings from ‘low’ to ‘very high’ assigned to each certified policy costing is updated at the time of each Budget and Spring Statement.
We publish letters, mostly between Robert Chote and figures in the UK Government and Parliament, on a number of topics as well a log of substantive contact made between ministers, special advisers, private office and opposition MP’s and the OBR.
Press notices are published on our website to inform the press of latest events or publications. The chairman, Robert Chote, also gives press conference presentations to explain the analysis in our key publications.
As part of our commitment to transparency, we provide further information to our analysis on request. Requests can be made informally or under the Freedom of Information Act. You can also read our responses to Parliamentary questions.