In addition to its impact on public health, the coronavirus outbreak will substantially raise public sector net borrowing and debt, primarily reflecting economic disruption. The Government’s policy response will also have substantial direct budgetary costs, but the measures should help limit the long-term damage to the economy and public finances – the costs of inaction would certainly have been higher. Our Coronavirus reference scenario describes one illustrative economic scenario and its consequences for the public finances.
- Coronavirus analysis
- Economic and fiscal outlook
- Fiscal sustainability report
Long-term projections of the UK public finances and public sector balance sheet analysis.
- Forecast evaluation report
Report into how our forecasts compare to subsequent outturn data and identifying lessons for future forecasts.
- Welfare trends report
An in-depth look at the drivers of welfare spending both inside and outside the Government’s welfare cap.
- Fiscal risks report
A report published every two years on the main risks to the public finances.
- Monthly public finance release
Our monthly commentary on the latest public finances data and how it compares to our most recent forecast.
- All other publications
In-depth discussion and technical papers, devolved tax forecasts, press releases and disclosures.
Five year forecasts for the UK economy and public finances and an assessment of whether the Government is likely to achieve its fiscal targets.