Confronted by a vulnerable fiscal position and a challenging political environment, the Government will need to review the fiscal risks that it has exposed itself to for policy reasons, to prepare for the cost of unexpected shocks and to address some long-term pressures on receipts and spending. And to do so while managing the uncertainties posed by Brexit, which could influence the likelihood and impact of several other risks.
- Economic and fiscal outlook
- Fiscal sustainability report
Long-term projections of the UK public finances and public sector balance sheet analysis.
- Forecast evaluation report
Report into how our forecasts compare to subsequent outturn data and identifying lessons for future forecasts.
- Welfare trends report
An in-depth look at the drivers of welfare spending both inside and outside the Government’s welfare cap.
- Fiscal risks report
A report published every two years on the main risks to the public finances.
- Monthly public finance release
Our monthly commentary on the latest public finances data and how it compares to our most recent forecast.
- All other publications
In-depth discussion and technical papers, devolved tax forecasts, press releases and disclosures.
Five year forecasts for the UK economy and public finances and an assessment of whether the Government is likely to achieve its fiscal targets.